Annual Energy Transition Monitoring
vbw – Bavarian Industry Association
ongoing
What is the status of the German energy transition? Since 2012, Prognos has been monitoring the energy transition in Bavaria and Germany on behalf of the vbw – Bavarian Industry Association.
We examined four areas in more depth to assess the extent to which the energy transition has achieved its targets:
We developed a traffic light system for the evaluation of selected indicators, to which the numbers 1 to 3 were additionally assigned for the formation of mean values. “Green” (= 1) means a positive rating, “Yellow” (= 2) means a critical rating and “Red” (= 3) means a negative rating.
The Bavarian Energy Program’s quantified targets and the Federal Government’s energy concept as well as targets defined in laws such as the EEG, serve as the basis for assessment. Where no information is available, we have defined a target path or appropriate reference values have been defined. For the purpose of the environmental compatibility assessment, greenhouse gas emissions were used.
In autumn 2010, the German Federal Government defined quantitative targets for achieving a secure, economical and environmentally and climate-friendly energy supply in the long term. Increasing energy productivity and expanding renewable energies have since played a decisive role.
With the Bundestag’s adoption of the Climate Protection Act in December 2019, the Federal Government set itself the goal of long-term greenhouse gas neutrality by the year 2050. Until the year 2030, the reduction target of 55 percent compared to 1990, continues to apply.
Last update: 25.02.2025
Dr. Almut Kirchner stellt auf der Veranstaltung die Ergebnisse des 13. Energiewendemonitorings vor, das Prognos jährlich für die vbw erstellt.
The energy transition is still lagging behind its goals – such are the findings of our 12th Monitoring Report. In two of the four areas, the lights remain on red.
Our data shows: As the expansion of renewable energies has been particularly paralysed, a lot still needs to happen in the coming years if Germany is to achieve its energy and climate goals.
Wie haben sich Energieverbrauch und Emissionen in Bezug auf die Ziele der Energiewende entwickelt? Im Energiewendemonitoring bewertet Prognos im Auftrag der Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft die Situation in 2020.
Zum neunten Mal in Folge bilanziert Prognos im Auftrag der vbw – Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e. V. den Verlauf der Energiewende in Deutschland und Bayern.
For the eighth time in a row, Prognos reports on the course of the energy transition in Germany and Bavaria until now, on behalf of the vbw - Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e. V.
For the seventh time in a row, Prognos reports on the course of the energy transition in Germany and Bavaria until now, on behalf of the vbw - Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e. V.
Zum sechsten Mal in Folge bilanziert Prognos im Auftrag der vbw – Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e. V. den Verlauf der Energiewende in Deutschland und Bayern.
Partner, Director
Grid operator TenneT has put an important power line into operation in Lower Saxony. Prognos supported the communication for the project.
The German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs has commissioned Prognos and its partners to develop a plan for implementing the European Energy Performance of Buildings Directive in Germany.
Prognos and its partners support the preparation of the German government's 2025 to 2027 greenhouse gas projection reports.
Primary energy consumption in Germany has fallen by a total of ten percent in the last two years. However, not all sectors have been successful.
How can EU member states accelerate the expansion of renewable energies? Our report for the European Commission analyses which measures are needed to simplify approval procedures.
Prognos will support the Federal Ministry of Economics in preparing the NECP progress reports until 2027.
On behalf of the Swiss Federal Office of Energy (SFOE), we conduct an annual analysis of the development of energy consumption in Switzerland.
On behalf of the Energy Agency for Electrical Appliances (eae), Prognos annually examines the development in the efficiency of electrical appliances and their influence on energy consumption in Switzerland.
In the period 2000-2023, final energy consumption in Switzerland increased, although the costs of energy sources have risen significantly.
In our report, we estimated the steering effect of the Fuel Emissions Trading Act for the German Environment Agency on the basis of four sensitivities.
Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.