all models

Energy

Refinery Model

Application

The Refinery model enables the annual production of mineral oil products to be mapped on the basis of the German refinery park, taking into account the utilisation of the individual partial production plants. It is primarily used for modelling overall system scenarios. For this purpose, the outputs of the demand models (ProGRESS, PrIDE, TEMPO) are used.

Application examples and projects

Background paper for a buildings strategy for climate neutrality

2023
| Project

How can existing buildings become climate-neutral by 2045? On behalf of the BMWK, we developed scenarios and measures.

Energy Efficiency Roadmap 2045

ongoing
| Project

Climate neutrality can only be achieved through higher energy efficiency. The German govern-ment's “Energy Efficiency Roadmap 2050” dialogue forum prepares concrete measures.

Climate-Neutral Germany 2045

2021
| Project

Together with the Öko-Institut and the Wuppertal Institute, we have investigated how Germany can achieve its climate targets even before 2050.

Energy projections 2030/2050

2020
| Project

On behalf of the Federal Ministry of Economics, Prognos has determined whether the Federal Government’s climate protection package will be enough for Germany to achieve its climate targets by 2030.

Climate Path for Germany

2018
| Project

How can Germany reach its 2050 climate goals - and under what conditions is that possible? Those are the questions addressed by a study for the Association of German Industry (BDI).

More on this model

Model type

Balance/Balancing

Modelled dimensions

Conducted annually

Region covered

National

Time frame

Currently until 2050

Databases

  • Annual en2x report
  • German Energy Balance

Input

  • Final energy demand
  • Non-energy consumption

Output

  • Production of petroleum products
  • Refinery’s own consumption

 

Feel free to contact us.

Dr Almut Kirchner

Partner, Director

+41 61 32 73 331
almut.kirchner@prognos.com

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