Application The Circular Economy model allows producing scenario analyses and waste development assessments (differentiated by main waste types) by taking into account demographic, economic, legal, technological, and competitiveness aspects. Such results can then be compared against available or expected capacities. Respectively, the additional treatment capacity required can be derived. Model core The model computes the development of waste generation, differentiated according to waste types, that is individual waste codes – as required. The model is based on two logics “What happens if...” or “What has to happen so that...”. In the model, specific scenario assumptions or sensitivities to specific targets can be considered by specifying the start year of the measures’ impacts and the introduction time frame of measures until the full effectiveness of those measures. Model modifications depend upon data availability and the questions’ specificities. Application examples and projects Increased climate benefits thanks to European waste management 2022 | Project What contribution does European waste management make to achieving the Paris climate agreement goals? Read more Waste Management Plan NRW 2021 | Project Prognos waste experts were commissioned by the Ministry of the Environment, Agriculture, Nature Conservation and Consumer Protection of the State of North Rhine-Westphalia to update the 2008 Waste Management Plan. Read more Mineral waste landfill requirements in Saxony, up to the year 2035 2020 | Project On behalf of Saxony’s State Office for the Environment, Agriculture and Geology, Prognos deter-mined how landfill needs will develop up to the year 2035. Read more More on this model Model type Modular and scenario-based forecast and simulation model Modelled dimensions Waste codes according to the Waste Catalogue Ordinance (Aggregated) material flows Regional differentiation according to availability Region covered Districts Regions Federal states Germany Nation states (EU) Time frame 2000 to 2050 Databases National: Destatis – waste management Regional database – waste management Regional economic accounts Urban waste balances and statistical reports of the federal states Federal Environment Agency – cross-border waste statistics EU Associations: Eurostat EEA National statistics offices National and international associations Input Waste generation and waste composition Plants (capacities, operators) Output Material flow-specific scenarios for supply and demand (waste generation, capacity requirements) Feel free to contact us. Dr Almut Kirchner Partner, Director +41 61 32 73 331 almut.kirchner@prognos.com Go to profile Your name Phone Email address Your message Data protection notice Yes, I consent to Prognos processing the personal data I have provided above in order to best address the request I have made. I can revoke my consent at any time with effect for the future by sending an e-mail to info@prognos.com. You can find further information in our data protection declaration.