Application The Prognos Residential Sector model ProGRESS calculates the energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions of private households. Based on this, necessary investments (new and replacement investments) and energy costs are derived. The model can be used to simulate, compare, and evaluate possible decarbonisation paths. In addition, the model can be used to calculate the impact of energy and climate policy instruments. Model core The Prognos Residential Sector model calculates the energy consumption and related GHG emissions of the private households sector by application and energy sources in annual increments. It is a long-term, bottom-up, simulation model. The model takes into account the service life of building parts and plants (investment cycles), technology costs, and energy prices. Central applications include space heating, hot water, building services, cooking, lighting, ICT, as well as household appliances (e. g., washing, drying, cooling, freezing). The energy consumption of the applications is calculated in as much detail as possible according to clearly defined categories. The focus is on the detailed depiction of residential buildings and living spaces; these are differentiated according to age of the building, building type, energy sources, renovation status. Application examples and projects Background paper for a buildings strategy for climate neutrality 2023 | Project How can existing buildings become climate-neutral by 2045? On behalf of the BMWK, we developed scenarios and measures. Read more Energy Efficiency Roadmap 2045 ongoing | Project Climate neutrality can only be achieved through higher energy efficiency. The German govern-ment's “Energy Efficiency Roadmap 2050” dialogue forum prepares concrete measures. Read more Climate-Neutral Germany 2045 2021 | Project Together with the Öko-Institut and the Wuppertal Institute, we have investigated how Germany can achieve its climate targets even before 2050. Read more Energy projections 2030/2050 2020 | Project On behalf of the Federal Ministry of Economics, Prognos has determined whether the Federal Government’s climate protection package will be enough for Germany to achieve its climate targets by 2030. Read more Climate Path for Germany 2018 | Project How can Germany reach its 2050 climate goals - and under what conditions is that possible? Those are the questions addressed by a study for the Association of German Industry (BDI). Read more More on this model Model type Bottom-up deterministic simulation model Modelled dimensions Time Building type Applications Energy sources Region covered National Time frame 1990 to 2060 Databases AG-Energiebilanzen Energy use (Destatis) National Inventory Report (UBA) Microcensus on the living situation of households (Destatis) Buildings and dwellings (Destatis) Input Population development Household development Output Energy consumption Greenhouse gas emissions Feel free to contact us. Dr Almut Kirchner Partner, Director +41 61 32 73 331 almut.kirchner@prognos.com Go to profile Your name Phone Email address Your message Data protection notice Yes, I consent to Prognos processing the personal data I have provided above in order to best address the request I have made. I can revoke my consent at any time with effect for the future by sending an e-mail to info@prognos.com. You can find further information in our data protection declaration.