all projects

Cost model for the disposal of single-use plastics

Client

German Federal Ministry for the Environment (BMU)

Year

2022

Partner

Wuppertal Institute, INFA GmbH, okl & Partner


The assignment

In June 2019, the EU adopted a single-use plastics directive requiring Member States to introduce the “Extended Producer Responsibility regime” for certain single-use plastic products, in accordance with the “Polluter Pays Principle.” The manufacturers of these single-use plastic products (such as food containers, packets and wrappers, or wet wipes) should cover the costs of their collection, cleaning, waste transport, and treatment, and the raising of awareness.

In order to transpose the EU directive into national law, the Federal Government has submitted a draft bill. The “Single-Use Plastics Fund Act” establishes the legal basis for the collection of a disposable plastic levy by the Federal Environment Agency. For this purpose, levy rates must be defined for individual products.

The Federal Environment Agency has therefore commissioned a consortium with the participation of Prognos, to develop a corresponding cost model.

Our approach

In the first step, the foundations for market activity were established. In particular, Prognos determined the quantities of relevant single-use plastic products made available on the market: Food containers, packets and wrappers, beverage containers, beverage cups, lightweight plastic carrier bags, wet wipes, balloons, and plastic cigarette filters. The resulting waste volumes and associated costs were also determined.

On this basis, a cost model was developed that can be used to determine cost rates for the individual product groups – namely for the quantities provided in future years. On the other hand, the funds from the Single-Use Plastics Fund can be distributed to the various beneficiaries according to a point system.

In a third step, the cost model was tested on the basis of individual product groups and beneficiaries, and this was all calculated as an example.

Core results

In urban areas, the costs for cleaning and collection amounted to around 5.10 euros per inhabitant per year for all single-use plastic products and around 0.12 euros per inhabitant per year in extra-urban areas. In total, costs of around 5.22 euros per inhabitant per year were calculated for all single-use plastic products. To determine the product group-specific rate in [€/kg] of SUP products made available on the market, in a subsequent step, the costs are then compared with the overall quantities made available on the market. In a supplementary study for the GVM Gesellschaft für Verpackungsmarktforschung mbH, 56,000 manufacturers who make single-use plastic articles (as defined by the EU directive) available on the market for the first time or sell them directly to households or other users, were identified. According to the Federal Government’s bill, these manufacturers will have to register for the Single-Use Plastics Fund.

Based on the cost model developed, the manufacturers’ SUP levy can be determined. The amount of the levy depends on the single-use plastic product and the quantity made available on the market. The levy rates are calculated in euros per kilogram.

The levies that manufacturers pay into the fund each year are paid out annually to all entitled stakeholders (public waste management bodies and other legal entities under public law). Pay-out is via a points system, whereby a score is assigned to the services of the beneficiaries.

An example: For cleaning one kilometre, an eligible party in the urban area will receive ten points, while the emptying of 100 litres of wastepaper bin volume is only accorded one point. The reason for this is that between the two variables there is a difference in cost factor of approximately ten.

Links and downloads

On the website of the Federal Environment Agency, you will find:

The study (in german)

Project team: Marieke Eckhardt, Dr Bärbel Birnstengel, Romy Kölmel

Last update 5.12.2022

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Dr Bärbel Birnstengel

Principal

View profile

Marieke Eckhardt

Project Manager

View profile

Mehr Studien & Projekte zu diesem Thema

More studies & projects on this topic

Extra-high voltage line Ganderkesee – St. Hülfe

2023
| Project

Grid operator TenneT has put an important power line into operation in Lower Saxony. Prognos supported the communication for the project.

Public participation in the Rostock Südstadt district

2024
| Project

What will the future look like in the Südstadt district of Rostock? In an innovative and co-creative public participation process, Prognos and the participants developed criteria for a planning concept its further development.

How far are the regions on the road to a circular economy?

2025
| Project update

Prognos has developed a tool for the Circular Cities and Regions Initiative (CCRI) that supports cities and regions in monitoring their circular economy activities.

Economic potential of the green tech sector in Bavaria

2024
| Project

How powerful is the green tech industry in Bavaria? What is its economic significance? We examined these questions on behalf of the vbw using our envigos model.

Promoting the use of electric buses in local public transport

2024
| Project

The German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy has been funding the e-bus market ramp-up since 2018. Together with our partners, we have been investigating how effective this funding has been.

Mid-term evaluation of the public sector loan facility

ongoing
| Project

The Public Sector Loan Facility is an EU financing instrument to ensure a socially just transition to climate neutrality in the regions. Prognos and partners are evaluating the instrument.

Support for the Saxony-Anhalt Citizens’ Advisory Board on Structural Change

ongoing
| Project

Prognos supports the citizens’ advisory council in incorporating the perspectives of the population into decision-making processes and advises the responsible staff unit of the State Chancellery.

Resilience and sovereignty of German industry

ongoing
| Project

German industry is dependent on raw materials and preliminary products from abroad. On behalf of the Netzwerk Zukunft der Industrie e. V., Prognos analyses the supply chains and provides recommendations for action.

In dialogue – electricity grid expansion in Germany

2023
| Project

Prognos supports transmission and distribution system operators in the planning and construction communication of the various power line construction projects at the extra-high and high-voltage level.

Digitisation strategy for Brandenburg

2021
| Project

The digital transformation has long been underway in Brandenburg's economy as well. Prognos is developing a strategic framework for action to successfully exploit the potential of digitisation.

About us

Prognos – Providing Orientation.

Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.

Learn more